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Comparing the 1920s to the 1990s

Home › Forums › Early Twentieth Century › Comparing the 1920s to the 1990s

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  • August 5, 2006 at 3:49 pm #260 Reply
    Phidippides
    Keymaster

    I'd like to get some views on similarities and differences between the economic booms of the 1920s and the 1990s.  They both began a few years after the U.S. had fought a war; they both led to a shift in culture as affluence increased; and they both ended with a relative “thud” – the 20s with the stock market crash of  1929, and one could argue that the 90s boom ended with 9/11 (though the market started tanking as early as March 2000).  Are these fair comparisons?

    August 7, 2006 at 6:48 am #6073 Reply
    Stumpfoot
    Participant

    It's not the first time I've heard the two decades compared. I think it is fair to compare the two. The ninties crash wasnt near as devistating as the crash of '29. Culture took a change for better or worse, you decide. No prohibition in the ninties (maybe the drug war is our prohibition) But lots of similarities.

    August 7, 2006 at 10:43 pm #6074 Reply
    DonaldBaker
    Participant

    I think the 1987 crash was worse than anything witnessed in the 1990's, but I may be off base.  The 1990's were rampant with inflated tech stocks that were bound to come back down to earth.  Amazon.com and Yahoo were tremendous hits but like all good things, they came back to more reasonable levels.  The corrections in the stock market were healthy I would say except for what happend on 911 artificially stimulated the selloff.  Remarkably, though, the United States has recovered from 911 for the most part.  Stable leadership in the Federal Reserve can be credited I suppose, that and the hard working American spirit.

    August 8, 2006 at 12:15 am #6075 Reply
    Stumpfoot
    Participant

    I think the 1987 crash was worse than anything witnessed in the 1990's

    I remember that. Only because a teacher came in to my tenth grade world history class and made the announcement that that day would be forever known as black monday.

    August 8, 2006 at 1:20 pm #6076 Reply
    Historywonk
    Participant

    There is no comparison.  The stock market lost 90% of its value between 1929 and 1933.  Unemployment reached 25%.  There was no unemployment insurance, no welfare, no social security.  People begged in the street for food.  Thousands were thrown out of their homes and farms.  Read about the Okies, dirt poor farmers who lost everything then headed to California because they heard there might be jobs as laborers but were then turned away at the border – like Mexicans today.  Talk to people like my parents who raised families when you often didn't know from one week to the next if you would have any food or money.  The country was in many places on the verge of rebellion – when Roosevelt was inaugurated in 1932 they had machine guns on the roof of the White House.  The 1990's was primarily a matter of people falling in love with a bull market and stupidly investing in companies that didn't actually make anything, including a profit.  A few, like Amazon, worked long-term and made money.  Most went down the toilet because there was nothing there but smoke and mirrors.  The classic was some company that let you order groceries over the Internet and then they would go shopping for you and deliver the groceries.  The bottom line is that comparing the 1990's to the 1920's is something akin to comparing the situation on our southern border with the German invasion of Russia in World War II.

    August 8, 2006 at 6:09 pm #6077 Reply
    Stumpfoot
    Participant

    The crashes certainly wernt comparable. But I think the booms of the two decades are, even if one decade was more inflated than the other.

    August 8, 2006 at 8:46 pm #6078 Reply
    Historywonk
    Participant

    The stock market boom of the '90s was probably much more widespread than the '20s because more people participate, either directly or through pension plans, etc.  But the effects of the bust might not have been because it was a much more concentrated crash.  If you had all your money in tech stocks you were probably wiped out, like those folks who believed Ken Lay and put their entire savings into Enron stock, but for most investors, like myself, it was more of a glitch that didn't have much long term effect – IF you didn't panic and dump everything.  People tend to forget that the market is more for long term growth than quick profit.  The big players can make quick money because they can afford to gamble but for most of us the gambling should be restricted to the casino.  But while the 90's bust was somewhat limited the 20's bust crushed the economy as a whole because EVERYTHING was built on smoke and mirrors and instead of just a segment.

    August 9, 2006 at 11:07 pm #6079 Reply
    DonaldBaker
    Participant

    My great-uncle lost $80,000.00 in the 1987 crash and didn't even blink an eye.  He told my father that he hadn't planned on using that money anyway for many years so by the time he was ready to use it, he would have it all back plus some.  He was right. 😉

    August 10, 2006 at 7:49 pm #6080 Reply
    Historywonk
    Participant

    My great-uncle lost $80,000.00 in the 1987 crash and didn't even blink an eye.? He told my father that he hadn't planned on using that money anyway for many years so by the time he was ready to use it, he would have it all back plus some.? He was right. 😉

    If your great-uncle has that much money I hope you're being really, really, really, really, really nice to him.

    August 10, 2006 at 11:53 pm #6081 Reply
    DonaldBaker
    Participant

    If your great-uncle has that much money I hope you're being really, really, really, really, really nice to him.

    I hope he spends every penny of it before he passes on.  He's a retired Ford Superintendent from the Kentucky Truck Plant in Louisville.  He's tighter than a tick on a dog's ear though. 🙂

    August 11, 2006 at 12:54 pm #6082 Reply
    Historywonk
    Participant

    Too bad.  One of my favorite bumper stickers is something to the effect that “I'm spending my childrens' inheritence.”  That's an attitude I like.  It's why I like Warren Buffet.  A multi-billionaire who insists his kids earn their own living.  Too bad Paris Hilton & Nicole Richey's parents didn't insist they go out and get a REAL job, then we might not be inflicted with even more insipid, brainless television.  Wait, isn't that last phrase a triple redundancy?

    August 24, 2006 at 1:41 am #6083 Reply
    Stumpfoot
    Participant

    Too bad.? One of my favorite bumper stickers is something to the effect that “I'm spending my childrens' inheritence.”? 

    They worked for it!

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